Friday, January 4, 2008

CIMB Report - 04 Jan 2008


What’s on the table

China Sports International (S$1.72) – Initiating coverage - Warming up

We initiate coverage of this Chinese sport shoe company with an Outperform rating and target price of S$2.43 on 15x CY09 earnings, which represents a 40% discount to average valuations for Chinese sports-shoe peers. We believe the discount is warranted by its weaker brand name and lower margins than peers.

However, we recommend China Sports for cheaper exposure to China’s burgeoning sporting goods sector. We expect group earnings to grow at 55% CAGR to Rmb272.4m by FY09.

We believe catalysts could come from:

1) an improved sales mix, boosted by higher-margin apparel sales;
2) accelerated store rollout;
3) higher ASPs, thus higher margins; and
4) strengthened brand awareness, boosted by aggressive A&P.

Quick Takes
  • Sino Techfibre (S$0.90) - Gnawing on confidence
  • SembMarine (S$4.00) - Jurong Shipyard secures semi-submersible contract
  • CapitaCommercial Trust (S$2.30) - Parked in Office
  • Thai Beverage (S$0.245) - Alcohol Control Act: compromised outcome

News of the Day

  • Singapore December PMI fell 2.8 points mom
  • Circle Line key to higher plot ratios
  • Genting receives approval for gaming operations in Alderney and the UK
  • Allco raises $518m for Singapore fund
  • Golden Agri-Resources proposes stock split
  • Keppel Bay Bridge: a new waterfront icon

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